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To look at this is real terms, lets say we played the game three times, and the results happened to go by the numbers
Each time I stick
Game 1 - I guess 1, the prize is in 1. Monty opens 3, offers me a swap, I say no - I win
Game 2 - I guess 1, the prize is in 2. Monty opens 3, offers me a swap, I say no - I lose
Game 3 - I guess 1, the prize is in 3. Monty opens 2, offers me a swap, I say no - I lose
If I stick each time, I win 1/3 of the time
If I twist each time
Game 1 - I guess 1, the prize is in 1. Monty opens 3, offers me a swap, I say no - I lose
Game 2 - I guess 1, the prize is in 2. Monty opens 3, offers me a swap, I say yes - I win
Game 3 - I guess 1, the prize is in 3. Monty opens 2, offers me a swap, I say yes - I win
...
I just typed that and it makes absolutely no fucking sense.
There is a 1/3 chance it is in any of the boxes! How can it possibly be so that whether I stick of twist can effect in anyway what is in the box???
Will the sky fall in now???
__________________
"Do not tell lies, and do not do what you hate,
for all things are plain in the sight of Heaven. For nothing
hidden will not become manifest, and nothing covered will remain
without being uncovered."
The Gospel of Thomas
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