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I tell you again wikipedia and other people in this thread are all wrong
If there are 100 doors, or 1000 doors.... the chance that it is behind any door is equal in this scenario
If I choose 1 and he opens 2 through 999 - there is a 1/1000 chance it is behind door 1, and a 1/1000 chance it is behind door 1000
Whatever I choose, whatever Monty Hall does - it makes no difference! The human choice does not affect which door the prize is behind. They put the car before the horse... this isnt game theory. The actual and material reality is there is a 1/3 chance of it being behind any of the doors. If it is revealed that it is not door 3, the die has already been cast.
Whether I change to 2, or stick with 1 - this has no material effect on the actual position of the prize. Everyone accepts this?
Given that this is accepted, and certain, and intrinsic in the puzzle - it MUST follow that my choice does not affect the probability of where it is, it is just as likely to be 1 as it is 2!
__________________
"Do not tell lies, and do not do what you hate,
for all things are plain in the sight of Heaven. For nothing
hidden will not become manifest, and nothing covered will remain
without being uncovered."
The Gospel of Thomas
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