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Old 12-28-2009, 06:36 PM   #12 (permalink)
dlish
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im not at all surprised that the US has had its intelligence gurus toiling in Yemen for a while now. The people of Sanaa are suspicious of outsiders, and saying anything not in line with the norm could get you into serious trouble.

But there's a line to be toed, and it usually is in Yemen. The really interesting thing about Yemen is that though the Saleh government 'runs' the country, the real powerbrokers isnt the government or any of its badly run agencies, but the powerful family tribes throughout the country. These tribes usually dont give much regard for politics, except when they need some infrastructre built or road laid. Thats when an unruly tourist gets kidnapped, not usually for monetary gains, but as a political pawn used by the tribes to get the government give in to its demands.

i'd agree that the jihadists have been marginalised in most of those countries, but they have been also marginalised in Yemen as well. With Al Qaeda largely unwanted in most arab lands, its only option is acceptance within other war torn nations like sudan, somalia or aghanistan. Whilst many of the arab countries still use torture as an interrogation method, and where the rule of law is as malleable as aluminium foil, jihadists usually tend to stay away from countr

Most yemenis are Zaydi's, who adhere to the Shia inclined school of thought, so having them accept an Al Qaeda ideology is far fetched, who just so happen to call shiites infidels or heretics. So those hawks who think they would fighting a nation of jihadists would be wrong to assume that a new front would be a fight against a nation of terrorists inclined with AQ. The yemenis remain extremely tribal and conservative, and loyalties and laws run along tribal lines.
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