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openthought · 06-13-2003, 04:26 AM

I think debaser made a lot of the points I was going to make so I'll instead breifly address Otaku.

You're right, a one and two chance each time, but in order to address combined probability you have to multiply independent probabilities. So for the flipping of the coin 10 thousand times and only getting heads the probability for this is (1/2)^(10,000). A very small number.

The Mac God's logic is flawed in other respects that debaser pointed out. If discussion flares up again, I'll be here to help articulate these arguments.

06-13-2003, 04:26 AM	#140 (permalink)
openthought Upright	I think debaser made a lot of the points I was going to make so I'll instead breifly address Otaku. You're right, a one and two chance each time, but in order to address combined probability you have to multiply independent probabilities. So for the flipping of the coin 10 thousand times and only getting heads the probability for this is (1/2)^(10,000). A very small number. The Mac God's logic is flawed in other respects that debaser pointed out. If discussion flares up again, I'll be here to help articulate these arguments.