Quote:
Originally Posted by Willravel
Raise your hand if you have an education in climatology. Anyone? If you didn't raise your hand, you're what's called a layman, "a person without professional or specialized knowledge". If you did, you're probably not involved in this discussion. |
Will... that would be me.
I do not have a formal education in climatology, but my 15 years as a computer forecaster/modeler put me in the situation of having to forecast (among other things) the effect of climate on electricity consumption. I have worked with climatologists, meteorologists, environmentalists, statisticians, and computer scientists working on, not climatological models, but electrical system models. Along the way, I gained more than a passing familiarity with the various climatological models used, the generic techniques used, and the strengths and weaknesses of various models. I was offered a research position at Purdue University to pursue that and other effects on the electrical system.
The one thing I will say about forecasting ANYTHING is that it is best described as driving a car blindfolded, taking directions from a guy in the back seat who's looking out the rear window. The only thing you know for sure is that you will be wrong.