Quote:
Originally Posted by tisonlyi
SNP support is up to around 33% at the last Scottish election, and they're polling around there with a view to the next Westminster election. 32% in the next election for the SNP would be a +14% increase.
Two-horse race for Westminster | SNP - Scottish National Party
The actual data is from an 'independent' source commissioned by The Telegraph.
Since the mid-eighties the SNP vote has marched up fairly consistently... Scottish Nationalism is no longer a ridiculous notion, it's a potential reality in our lifetimes.
A crisis. An event. A message. (A leader.)
That's all it takes. |
In Quebec, we've had two referendums on sovereignty/independance (there's an important distinction).
In the first, it was about 60% to 40% against. In the second, it was a lot closer at 51% to 49%. At both times, the Parti Quebecois held solid majority governments within the province, something the SNP hasn't even sniffed yet.
Although polls have sometimes seen support for seperation go well over 50%, when it comes time to vote, there is an awful lot of soft support.
When support for Scottish independance gets well over 55% in a poll, I'd consider worrying.
Fact is, for generations after the Act of Union and other legal efforts to bind Scotland to England (and Wales), most Scots didn't want any part of it. You can say that those were different times, most people did not have the vote, etc., and that's true, but the sentiment has been there long, long before the SNP ever came into being.