I think Kagan is likely to get /a/ nomination at some point during Obama's presidency, but I think this is too early for her to be a serious candidate. Obama is going to wait until she's had a few arguments before the court as solicitor general before he nominates her. I hope that he'll go outside the box, and pick someone with actual litigation experience. I would think it'd be hilarious if he nominated John Edwards... 
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"Die Deutschen meinen, daß die Kraft sich in Härte und Grausamkeit offenbaren müsse, sie unterwerfen sich dann gerne und mit Bewunderung:[...]. Daß es Kraft giebt in der Milde und Stille, das glauben sie nicht leicht."
"The Germans believe that power must reveal itself in hardness and cruelty and then submit themselves gladly and with admiration[...]. They do not believe readily that there is power in meekness and calm."
-- Friedrich Nietzsche
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