View Single Post
Old 04-17-2009, 12:37 PM   #2 (permalink)
Slims
Eccentric insomniac
 
Slims's Avatar
 
Location: North Carolina
Well, without getting sucked into the whole "why are we in AF" thing, I will say that since we are already there, and since our departure would leave a huge vacum which the Taliban is already in place to fill, we are stuck working towards an alternative solution.

Remember the Taliban are an extremist organization which have always attempted to seize power wherever they can. They took Afghanistan several years after the Russians left and then imposed their brand of fundamental sharia law (much to the surprise of the average Afghan who supported them simply to cut down on corruption). They are doing the same in Pakistan now. They modify their rules and tenents to fit whatever is most expedient for them. When they were in power in Afghanistan, they considered opium and the opium smugglers to be a threat and clamped down on it, but they are now heavily involved in the drug trade.

Just as Mao did not really resonate with the Chinese people until he essentially rebranded Industrial Communism into something a rural farmer could recognize, the Taliban are beginning to enjoy more widespread success in PK now that they have begun adapting to the people around them and picking up causes which resonate with the local communities.

Right now, most of the senior insurgent leadership is operating out of PK and that is where the supplies, etc. are coming from. If they have their safe havens taken away they will be unable to continue to function.

The solution?

I don't really have a good answer for you. We have made a commitment to the Afghans who have staked their lives on our promise to help them create a new Afghanistan. At the same time it is definitely not in our best interest to hasten civil war in PK by invading the SWAT and NWFP and dealing with the problem ourselves.

I think if you loosened the rules of engagement again for SOF and allowed them to focus primarily on border interdictions you might be able to restrict the movement of men, weapons and supplies across the border enough to give the Afghan government time to become quasi-competent and strong enough to stand against the pressure of the Taliban.

Right now many officials are playing both sides of the fence because they (very likely correctly) believe we will end up pulling out and leaving them hanging high and dry. If they do not stay in good favor with the Taliban they will be executed as soon as we are gone. The solution there is obvious...make a strong commitment and show we are not going to abandon them. If we continue to sway back and forth on the issue we will never receive the full support of our Afghan allies. (or, alternatively we need to decide enough is enough and leave now.)
__________________
"Socialism is a philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance, and the gospel of envy, its inherent virtue is the equal sharing of misery." - Winston Churchill

"All men dream: but not equally. Those who dream by night in the dusty recesses of their minds wake in the day to find that it was vanity: but the dreamers of the day are dangerous men, for they may act out their dream with open eyes, to make it possible." Seven Pillars of Wisdom, T.E. Lawrence
Slims is offline  
 

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 189 190 191 192 193 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207 208 209 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223 224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 234 235 236 237 238 239 240 241 242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249 250 251 252 253 254 255 256 257 258 259 260 261 262 263 264 265 266 267 268 269 270 271 272 273 274 275 276 277 278 279 280 281 282 283 284 285 286 287 288 289 290 291 292 293 294 295 296 297 298 299 300 301 302 303 304 305 306 307 308 309 310 311 312 313 314 315 316 317 318 319 320 321 322 323 324 325 326 327 328 329 330 331 332 333 334 335 336 337 338 339 340 341 342 343 344 345 346 347 348 349 350 351 352 353 354 355 356 357 358 359 360