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Originally Posted by Tully Mars
So do you think WWII began in the early 30's? Or do you simply not understand basic economics?
You should really look into a US history and/or a beginning economics course. Seriously any local community college could help you understand this better.
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Let us take a look:
I did a Google search there are about 6 million results for "WWII Start", here is one:
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The year generally given is 1939
However, one can make out a case for other dates for the start of WW2.
One can say that the war started at different times, for different countries.
Most historians agree the "world war" started in 1937 or in 1939. The most commonly accepted date is either September 1st or 3rd, 1939.
The date is debated, as the following events are cited as possible starting points:
* 1 September 1939: The German invasion of Poland.
* 3 September 1939: France and Britain declared war on Germany. (Canada, Australia, New Zealand and South Africa followed by 10 September).
The Soviet Union: 22 June 1941 (German attack on the USSR).
* 7 July 1937: The Japanese invasion of China (the start of the Second Sino-Japanese War).
* 1931: The Japanese invasion of Manchuria
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WikiAnswers - When did World War 2 start
There was a building anticipation for war, even FDR recognized this. Here are a few bits of information to be considered.
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Eve of War 1939
Jan. 12 - FDR speech asked $525m more for defense, especially more airplanes
Jan. 28 - Enrico Fermi reported at a meeting of physicists in Washington DC that the German scientist Otto Hahn had split a synthetic ekauranium atom to release enormous energy, a vital step in the development of an atomic bomb.
Apr. 26 - FDR signed the appropriation bill that began construction of a 6000-plane Army Air Force
Mar. 15 - Hitler arrived in Prague and completed the occupation of the German-speaking regions (Bohemia, Moravia) of Czechoslovakia
Mar. 23 - Hitler occupied Memelland (NE Prussia ceded to Lithuania) & demanded Danzig - map
Mar. 31 - Chamberlain made an official pledge of British defense of Poland, marking the end of appeasement.
Aug. 2 - Einstein letter to FDR suggesting construction of the atomic bomb.
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Eve of War 1939
In 1930 the US was spending 1.5 billion on defense by 1941 the amount was $7.2 billion. According to your chart industrial production reached a peaked in about 1930, reached another in about 1937 and then dropped below the 1930 peak. We did not permanently pass the 1930 peak until late in 1939. That is pretty close to a decade, and that decade concluded with a global build up and the start of WWII.
We clearly can look at the same data and come to very different conclusions. However, I think those mythical "most historians" and "most economists" agree with me.