View Single Post
Old 02-19-2009, 09:33 AM   #30 (permalink)
shakran
Tone.
 
shakran's Avatar
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Xerxys View Post
Dude, this statement is SO wrong!!! Please stop. How many people own cars, ok now, how many people own submarines?! Do you get why the number of cars tip the scale of chances there will be a wreck?

C'mon man!!!
Look at it from a mathematical point of view. the number of submarines and the number of cars is irrelevant. The odds of your specific car being at any one place at any one time are not, unless one counts traffic jams, influenced by how many other cars there are out there. Similarly, the odds of any one specific submarine being in any one specific place at one specific time are not influenced by how many submarines are out there.

You seem to think that the odds are zero, that two submarines could be in the same place at the same time. This is not true, even if you dismiss the hard evidence we have that you are wrong seeing as how two of them ran into each other.

Besides which, your point does not seem to make a whit of sense. What are you suggesting here? The odds of the subs running into each other are too great (which you incorrectly seem to take to mean that it cannot happen) and therefore . . . What? It didn't happen? It did happen but it was on purpose? Something else happened and they're only claiming the subs ran into each other? What alternative are you suggesting in order to justify what you're saying in here?


My point about the automobiles is not that wrecks cannot happen. It is that wrecks can and do happen, even though the odds of one specific car being in the same place at the same time as another specific car are vanishingly small. If the odds were not vanishingly small, you'd wreck every time you left your driveway. Even though the odds of this happening are vanishingly small, we do not run around and say "holy shit! The odds of those two specific cars colliding are so small. . What's going on here! It's a bloody conspiracy!"

The same point applies to the submarines.
shakran is offline  
 

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 189 190 191 192 193 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207 208 209 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223 224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 234 235 236 237 238 239 240 241 242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249 250 251 252 253 254 255 256 257 258 259 260 261 262 263 264 265 266 267 268 269 270 271 272 273 274 275 276 277 278 279 280 281 282 283 284 285 286 287 288 289 290 291 292 293 294 295 296 297 298 299 300 301 302 303 304 305 306 307 308 309 310 311 312 313 314 315 316 317 318 319 320 321 322 323 324 325 326 327 328 329 330 331 332 333 334 335 336 337 338 339 340 341 342 343 344 345 346 347 348 349 350 351 352 353 354 355 356 357 358 359 360