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I am a Ravens fan and was at the game, and I wouldn't call the Holmes play lucky. Roethlisberger loves to break the pocket and wait until the play breaks down to find guys. He did it all game, and the Holmes play was an example. Holmes had a lot of open space and good blocking, which is heaven for a punt returner.
Though I don't know actual language of the rule, I have been hearing that sine Clark led with the shoulder, it is a clean hit despite the fact that there was helmet to helmet contact. Clark didn't try to spear the guy with his helmet, and I think it was a clean hit.
The Ravens still had an opportunity to take the lead, but the bonehead personal foul by Stone made it a long field and then Pittsburgh's D took over with a second down sack and a third down pick.
The Ravens' corners were the problem, and after being exposed by the Titans, the Steelers attacked them. Washington and Walker were backups coming into the season and only have started due to injury to the starting corners.
Pittsburgh is favored and they should be. Obviously you still have to play the game and there have been Super Bowl upsets this decade (Patriots over Rams, Bucaneers over Raiders, Giants over Patriots).
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