Originally Posted by guyy

I don't think that's the best possible scenario. For one, ND is tied, so you could add 3 to that. Indiana is winnable and Georgia & Montana are reasonably close, too. Some places haven't been polled in a while (e.g., Mississippi & Arizona where McC hasn't been up by that much.) It's conceivable that Obama could crack 400.

By all accounts, McC is running a bad campaign. The only thing he's proven so far is that he can't get it done. I think it's reasonable to assume that he'll continue floundering rather than finishing strong. I wonder whether McC might do better by suspending his campaign, sending Sarah home, and just kicking back for the next few weeks.