Thread: Baseball 2008
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Old 09-30-2008, 02:31 PM   #564 (permalink)
djtestudo
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Quote:
Originally Posted by QuasiMondo View Post
The bullpen hasn't pitched well all season. Here's the most telling stat (through August):

Run differential, Innings 1-6: +118
Run differential, Innings 7-9+: -49

Over the final 17 games of the season, the bullpen had an ERA of 6.56. Jerry Manuel used on average 4.4 relievers per game. Just listing the overall ERA doesn't do justice to how bad this bullpen was. The only pitcher who could get both sides of the plate out was Billy Wagner. Everybody else was pretty much a situational guy who's only good at working one side of the plate. If you look at the BAA between RH and LH hitters for each pitcher, you'd see what I'm talking about, and how easily they were exploited by opposing managers.

Through early August, Johan Santana walked away with seven no-decisions, five of them coming after he walked off the mound giving up two runs or less. Other starters have had similar results. I'll admit, the starters do have their problems. Perez is way too inconsistent and Pedro seems to be out of gas, especially after trying to fight through injuries and his father's death. But Santana is spot on, Maine was spot on until he got hurt, and Pelfrey settled in quite nicely in the second half.

The bottom line is this: Out of all the problems the Mets had, their bullpen was the most devastating. It's taken them out of games, it's cost Santana a Cy Young, and in the end, it cost them a play of berth. Minaya needs to make fixing the bullpen he neglected his top priority. I don't care if they don't sign C.C. or Texeria. They have solid hitters, solid defense, and solid pitching. If the bullpen had held on to even one lead, I wouldn't be singing this sad song.
I don't want it to sound like I think the Mets' bullpen was any good, because I don't. It's just not the reason the team fell apart at the end. They pitched just as "well" (relatively speaking, of course) in September as in most of the season.

It didn't cost Santana a Cy Young, since if there is any justice Tim Lincecum will win (and if he doesn't, it will be for the same reason you suggest as Santana: not enough official "wins", which would be a stupid reason for any voter in this era). It should be a priority, though.

They might want to try finding guys with good track records who had a poor 2008 and are looking at being dumped by their team due to big contracts, since even good relievers have up-and-down seasons.
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