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Old 09-11-2008, 10:47 AM   #33 (permalink)
loquitur
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Quote:
Originally Posted by host View Post
Correct me if I'm wrong, but the sense I get, if the way I described the changes is correct, is that the introduction of a much larger force is setting back (or at least confusing) the winning of hearts and minds and force multiplication, encouraging a larger and more aggressive response from the enemy, and producing US and NATO casualties that might not have to happen,
Yeah, host, that's my concern. Historically, big foreign forces didn't do well in Afghanistan. Maybe it's how those forces were used that was more important than the raw numbers, but I'm not enough of a military expert to know. I'm skeptical that what worked in Iraq with the surge will work in Afghanistan because it's a very different kind of country and society - though the basic idea of population-protection-based counterinsurgency is fairly universally valid. The issue is knowing the population well enough and understanding them to be able to implement that strategy in a location- and culture-sensitive kind of way. That doesn't depend on raw numbers, at least not above a critical mass.
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