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Old 08-08-2008, 01:02 PM   #21 (permalink)
QuasiMondo
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Location: Pretoria (Tshwane), RSA
As much as I want to hate this deal...I can't.

Looking at the worst case scenario for this season, if Favre gets hurt, they still have Clemens. Not the most accurate QB around, but with Pennington's lack of an arm, it's highly probable that Clemens would've been one good tackle away from getting the starting job if things stayed as they were.

At every step of the way, the Jets have to ask themselves, "Is where we at worth giving up a draft pick?" The way those conditional picks are setup in the trade, the answer is, "Yes." As of right now, the Jets gave up a 4th round pick. Helluva deal when you consider that the Saints gave up a 2nd and 5th rounder to acquire Jeremy Shockey, and we're still not sure if he's HOF caliber.

Should Favre take 80 percent of the snaps this season, it becomes a 3rd round pick. Still not a bad tradeoff compared to the Shockey trade, or even the Jason Taylor trade.

If the Jets make the playoffs, it's a 2nd rounder. A mediocre Favre gets them a wild card and if he's anything close to what he was last season, they have a divisional spot.

If the Jets make the Super Bowl it's a first round. If you're building up to get your team into the Super Bowl and you trade for a player who can shortcut the rebuilding process at the cost of a first rounder, then that's a no-brainer. I'm sure there's a player or two out there who would sacrifice their first born to get a shot at the Vince Lombardi trophy.

Assuming that the most likely scenario is Brett Favre taking them to the playoffs, the question becomes this: Is two years of Favre worth a second round pick? I still think yes. If it doesn't pan out, you still have your first round pick that you can include in a trade package to get a quarterback. You also have the bonus of having Kellen Clemens learn under both Pennington and Favre. If he can't learn from these two guys, then there's no hope for him, and you're really no worse off than you were trying to hold on for Clemens for two years before you admit that he's not the guy to lead your offense.

If you really think about it, that conditional pick is what makes this such a screaming deal for the Jets.
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Last edited by QuasiMondo; 08-08-2008 at 01:06 PM..
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