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Originally Posted by aceventura3
Obama will win by about 10 to 15 percentage points. Given, Obama's current lead, he will only speak in broad generalities. He will avoid going into details to avoid offending anyone, while offering something for everyone. His words will be chosen in a manner to give him options to take whatever action he needs to take without appearing to be in conflict with anything he has said. He will avoid debates as much as possible, and he will only do soft interviews in controlled settings with those predisposed to his candidacy. McCain has nothing to offer personality wise, leadership wise to get anyone excited about his candidacy. I am not knocking Obama, I think any wise politician would employ the strategy he is going to use in the upcoming months.
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I really hope that you're wrong about Obama's strategy, because if he does run his election that way, he definitely won't win by double-digits.
Obama has an advantage right now because the Democrats are enthusiastic about their candidate, while very few Republicans are thrilled with McCain. If Obama employs the "stay neutral to everything" strategy to avoid alienating any one group, his support will start to lose much of its energy and luster.
The strategy you described is called "playing not to lose", where basically you have a lead (however small) so you play defense, punt, and hope to run out the clock. Meanwhile, the other side gets more and more desperate and takes bigger risks. This is how upsets occur.