Quote:
Originally Posted by MSD
The universe has been around, by most estimates, for 15 billion years. The chance that life forms have evolved to the point that they are capable of contacting us is high, the chance that further evolution of life forms will evolve that are capable of contacting us is even higher. The likelihood that our 2 million years of existence coincides with an alien species' time existing is low and the chance that our 50 years (generous estimate) of capability of discovering them coincides with their existence is even lower.
Sure, there have probably been intelligent life forms out there and there probably will be, but in such a huge universe, the likelihood of contact is low.
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Making any statements regarding probabilities presupposes a whole lot of information we don't know. Don't believe the Drake equation. It's fantasy.
There are plenty of threads on this subject in the archives.
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I wake up in the morning more tired than before I slept
I get through cryin' and I'm sadder than before I wept
I get through thinkin' now, and the thoughts have left my head
I get through speakin' and I can't remember, not a word that I said
- Ben Harper, Show Me A Little Shame
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