Host...you know better than to look at only one poll
Here is an aggregate of polls:
Obama (46.7) v McCain (43.7)
Clinton (45.4) v McCain (43.8)
Two recent polls (Zogby, IBD) have Obama up 8-12 over McCain....no polls show Clinton with those numbers.
More importantly, look at
state polls....particularly those red states that were close in 04
Obama can conceivably win Iowa, Indiana, Colorado, New Hampshire, New Mexico, even Virginia...or at least has a greater chance than Clinton.
McCain is even closer to Clinton in several blue states (MN, OR)