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Old 05-18-2008, 02:20 PM   #37 (permalink)
guy44
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Strange Famous
i am assuming that, barring some kind of disaster, Obama is the democrat candidate.

Is there anyone in America who feels that McCain could win a general election?

Is their any roadmap to the Republicans not being swept off the map in the next election?
Well, as far as the OP goes, no I do not foresee a Republican victory for the Presidency. Obama has huge advantages in fundraising, voter ID, voter dissatisfaction with the President, etc. It isn't impossible for McCain to win, just very, very hard. In addition, given a variety of factors (large numbers of GOP retirements, the fact that more Republicans happen to be defending Senate seats this year than Democrats, the last 7+ years) it seems very likely that the Democrats will gain between 10-25 House seats and 4-9 Senate seats.

Of course, anything is possible. There's a lot of time between now and November, and actual events (a terrorist attack, for example) can change everything. But I could probably list dozens of reasons why the Democrats are likely to do well this year, and very few why the GOP may succeed.

Quote:
Originally Posted by pan6467
I think they can. I think that Operation Chaos went exactly as planned. I think that this press everyone complains is leftist.... helped and I think the Dems are in serious trouble come Nov.

Operation Chaos wasn't to get Hilary votes it was to scare Dem voters into voting for Obama. Make your enemies believe you want the one you are most scare of to win so that when the time comes the truly weaker one gets the win.

I think the press anointing Obama and covering up, whitewashing, shoo shooing serious gaffes and issues about and from him allowed him to win, however.... the GOP will capitalize.

I think this will not be pretty and in all honesty this may come down to who wanted to lose more.... not win.

I still truly believe that whoever wins will be in for serious decisions and if some issues are not taken care of immediately.... they'll most definitely lose seats in congress for their party in '10 and not be re-elected. I also believe some wrong moves and a serious gaffe and it could very easily ear this country apart.

However, if they make the right moves, get this country going again.... we could be looking at a long term party control in the government.

It's going to be bumpy and extremely messy.
On the one hand, I agree that whoever wins the Presidency is in for a very bumpy ride. The country is in terrible straits, from the economy to our foreign policy, and it's going to be incredibly tough to clean up the current mess.

On the other hand, even though I won't put down money on the presidential race (it's very, very illegal) I would theoretically place a lot on Obama. Frankly, I think you are wearing rose-tinted glasses even larger than the ones I was wearing in 2004. Then again, I was wrong then - but I still pretty sure Obama's going to win, and he's going to have solid majorities in both houses of the legislature.
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