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dc_dux · 05-13-2008, 08:28 PM

The MS win was a shocker....in the reddest of red districts. Bush won this district by 25 points in 04. The Repub candidate ran ads attempting to tie Childers to Obama, along with ads with the Rev Wright videos...didnt work.

The extent to which the Repubs are in denial can be found in the words of the House Minority Leader:

House Republican Leader John Boehner (R-OH) tonight responded to the MS-01 special election results with this cautionary statement:

“The results in MS-01 should serve as a wake-up call to Republican candidates nationwide. As I’ve said before, this is a change election, and if we want Americans to vote for us we have to convince them that we can fix Washington. Our presidential nominee, Senator McCain, is an agent of change; candidates who hope to succeed must show that they’re willing and able to join McCain in a leading movement for reform. We need to stop wasteful Washington spending, fight and win the war on terror, and stop the largest tax increase in history. That is truly the change the American people deserve -- and that is a message on which we can succeed.”

So what is McCain running on....permanent tax cuts for the top 2% of wage earners, no definable end to the occupation in Iraq, no health care reform plan and a stated lack of interest/expertise in an economic plan....that's change?

I've been seeing counts that the Dems could pick up 12-15 seats in the House this year (after 30+ in 06) and up to 6 seats in the Senate....giving them much more workable majorities.

Will has it right...the Dems have been running centrist candidates to attract Independents and its working, while the Repubs cling to their social conservative base.

I think its the start of another relatively long term trend (10+ year) trend.

More threatening to McCain (and the Repub party) was the announcement yesterday by former Repub Congressmen Bob Barr that he is running for the libertarian nomination for president....and he is running on the Ron Paul platform....cut the size of government, stop the infringement of personal liberties and bring the troops home.

He has to win the Libertarian nomination at their convention later this month..but he is now the front runner and the first big name tht the Libertarian party has ever had as a potential candidate. One republican pollster fears that Barr could get up to 5-7% (no Libertarian has ever won more than 1%) of the vote in Nov if disaffected Repubs (including Ron Paul supporters) turn out for him. That could be the difference in several close states, even more so that Nader in 2000 (he won less than 3%).

Ron Paul supporters are also planning to try to upstage McCain at the Republican convention...another bad sign for McCain and Repub candidates on his coattails.

05-13-2008, 08:28 PM	#4 (permalink)
dc_dux Location: Washington DC	The MS win was a shocker....in the reddest of red districts. Bush won this district by 25 points in 04. The Repub candidate ran ads attempting to tie Childers to Obama, along with ads with the Rev Wright videos...didnt work. The extent to which the Repubs are in denial can be found in the words of the House Minority Leader: House Republican Leader John Boehner (R-OH) tonight responded to the MS-01 special election results with this cautionary statement: “The results in MS-01 should serve as a wake-up call to Republican candidates nationwide. As I’ve said before, this is a change election, and if we want Americans to vote for us we have to convince them that we can fix Washington. Our presidential nominee, Senator McCain, is an agent of change; candidates who hope to succeed must show that they’re willing and able to join McCain in a leading movement for reform. We need to stop wasteful Washington spending, fight and win the war on terror, and stop the largest tax increase in history. That is truly the change the American people deserve -- and that is a message on which we can succeed.” So what is McCain running on....permanent tax cuts for the top 2% of wage earners, no definable end to the occupation in Iraq, no health care reform plan and a stated lack of interest/expertise in an economic plan....that's change? I've been seeing counts that the Dems could pick up 12-15 seats in the House this year (after 30+ in 06) and up to 6 seats in the Senate....giving them much more workable majorities. Will has it right...the Dems have been running centrist candidates to attract Independents and its working, while the Repubs cling to their social conservative base. I think its the start of another relatively long term trend (10+ year) trend. More threatening to McCain (and the Repub party) was the announcement yesterday by former Repub Congressmen Bob Barr that he is running for the libertarian nomination for president....and he is running on the Ron Paul platform....cut the size of government, stop the infringement of personal liberties and bring the troops home. He has to win the Libertarian nomination at their convention later this month..but he is now the front runner and the first big name tht the Libertarian party has ever had as a potential candidate. One republican pollster fears that Barr could get up to 5-7% (no Libertarian has ever won more than 1%) of the vote in Nov if disaffected Repubs (including Ron Paul supporters) turn out for him. That could be the difference in several close states, even more so that Nader in 2000 (he won less than 3%). Ron Paul supporters are also planning to try to upstage McCain at the Republican convention...another bad sign for McCain and Repub candidates on his coattails. __________________ "The perfect is the enemy of the good." ~ Voltaire Last edited by dc_dux; 05-13-2008 at 08:38 PM..