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Old 05-06-2008, 06:57 AM   #5 (permalink)
Tully Mars
Living in a Warmer Insanity
 
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Location: Yucatan, Mexico
Quote:
Originally Posted by ratbastid
I know the polls don't bear it out--and I may be operating in an echo chamber here--but MAN does a 5% win for Obama not reflect what I'm hearing on the street here in NC. Everyone I know is passionately for him. ALL the black people I know are voting for him no matter what. My immediate crowd of generally young white friends is for him. I don't know anybody who's a Hillary supporter. If we went just by yard signs, Obama would win 3 to 1.

For SURE Hillary will spin whatever happens as a massive victory. She's already talking about how far she came from behind in Indiana, despite having been ahead or even in every single poll ever taken there. If Obama does trounce her in NC, she'll write us off as another small boutique state that doesn't matter.

There was no line at all at my polling place at 7:25 this morning. And I voted on an electronic machine for the first time in my career as a citizen--a non-Diebold machine (I asked) with a voter-verified papertrail device built into it. Pretty cool.

I keep hearing and reading that Obama needs to be ahead in the exit polls by like 6 or 7 just to break even. Do you think thats true and if so why?
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