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Originally Posted by dc_dux
I dont know where you get the 3+ million figure. The last I saw was half that...which is still a troubling number.....but hardly a "rational eventuality" in a nation of 300 million.
The rate for violent crimes per 100,000 is less than 500 nationwide...thats .5%
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I took it from the National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS) in 2006.
http://www.ojp.usdoj.gov/bjs/abstract/cv06.htm
Violent 3,672,940
Personal theft 138,520
Property 12,133,460
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Be aware, know your surroundings...but dont live in fear that it will happen to you, because the odds are ....it wont.
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If there were a way to conduct post-mortem interviews of people who were sexually assaulted and killed, or simply murdered, I bet most of them "didn't think it would happen to them."
US Population: 301,139,947
Violent Crimes: 3,672,940
Roughly speaking (I know math of this sort is a bit hazardous on generalized surveys), but 1 in 82 people were the victim of a violent crime in 2006. That's high, if you ask me.
I think it's a safe bet, considering the majority of violent crime survivors also didn't think it would happen to them.
EDIT: Just saw your post jewels.
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Why would you say it's arrogant to keep yourself out of dangerous situations?
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If you re-read your post, you'll see that I'm not indicating his desire to keep himself out of dangerous situations is arrogant, but his belief that keeping himself of dangerous situations is THE ONE AND ONLY reason he hasn't been victimized. As a matter of fact, I think the things that you and GG above have mentioned are fantastic, and fall right in line with my #1 above; vigilance.
By the way, GG, I think it's very awesome that you've taken the time to think about these things. Just being aware of things that make you vulnerable is half the battle.