dc_dux

I think you are discounting the millions of potential new voters that have registered as a result of Obama's campaign, particularly two groups - young and college educated (and multi-racial) and blacks.

And discounting the upscale (upper middle/upper income) suburban Independents (soccer moms et al) a large majority of which voted Repub the last few times are leaning to Obama this go-round (evident in part by their participation in open Dem primaries).

All potentially part of a new (or renewed) coalition.

The electoral map is changing as well....particularly the southwest. Formerly red states like Colorado, New Mexico, Nevada are more purple now.

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