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Old 04-04-2008, 02:50 PM   #62 (permalink)
loquitur
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I thought this was interesting. According to Rasumussen:
Quote:
If the Democrats were to allot their current state delegate totals in a winner-take-all format, Clinton would actually have a significant delegate advantage. Despite having won only 14 recognized contests to Obama's 30, Clinton would currently have a 120 (1738 to 1618) total delegate lead and a remarkable 167 (1427 to 1260) pledged delegate lead. These numbers give Texas' "prima-caucus" delegates to Clinton and do not include Florida, Michigan or the 693 total delegates and 566 pledged delegates still to be won in the next few months.
So the outcome changes depending on which rules are applied. I don't think it would be right to change them now, in the middle of the game, of course, and I think Hillary is not shameless enough to argue that they should change (though this is not all that different from arguing that the Michigan and Florida results should be honored). I just thought it's worth noting that different rules will produce different results -- and that the main thing is that everyone knows the rules going in so they can plan their strategies accordingly.
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