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Originally Posted by Frosstbyte
That flight recorder is the fake flight recorder from the fake crash with all the bodies which the captain alleges that Ben planted somehow. The real flight recorder was not actually recovered, unless the others or the Losties snagged it at some point
Your point about the possible death is well taken. If it's a "main" character, s/he seems like a good candidate. It could also easily be one of the freighter people or a side character. Who knows.
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Maybe I'm just a cynic, but I always assume those "Someone.... Will.... DIE!!!!!" teasers are talking about a side character.
The question is whether the captain is really telling the truth. That black box could have come from anywhere, or could be a fake. Widmore would have the resources to get a spare or decommissioned black box, I think. And having it on hand would be helpful in convincing 815 survivors to help out against Ben.
The crew seems to have some issues with him--the doctor, who CSI fans will refer to simply as "Eckley" said, "He tells it like it is, but don't make him mad."