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Old 03-04-2008, 05:06 AM   #58 (permalink)
dc_dux
 
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Location: Washington DC
Quote:
Originally Posted by pan6467
Yes, this is going to be a very HUGE issue whether you want to believe it or not....
pan.....you say this with such certainty like you know something the rest of us dont.

In fact, there is nothing to suggest that this will be a very HUGE issue. Polls dont suggest it, focus groups dont suggest it, campaign professionals in both camps dont suggest it, talking heads on TV dont suggest it...

And to the extent that it was an issue as a result of the misleading attacks on Obama, he has addressed it to the satisfaction of most.

IMO, the huge issue MAY be the record number of younger (18-25), first time voters that Obama has attracted who believe he represents the best hope for their future as evident by the exit polls from many (most) of the primaries held to date. The turnout among young voters in the Democratic primaries has been 3-4 times past turnouts in many states...and Obama has won most of these primaries in part because he has won this demographic group by a large margin in every state.

But I am not as certain as you because these same voters tend to be fickle, may lose interest between now and Nov and may not show up when it counts.

Just to make it clear,there is little or nothing that supports your conclusion that Obama's affiliation with his church or the statements of his pastor will be a huge issue or an issue at all..other than to those who have already decided not to vote for him.

The only issue that is marginally related to all of this "nonsense" is race. While publicly, most voters say that race is not an issue, privately, in the voting booth, it is still uncertain if some voters are willing to vote for a black president (ie the Bradley effect).

And its a waste to time trying to convince these folks to take a second look....particularly if they get so easily offended if their "certainty" or their superficial, one-sided view of the issue is questioned.

If you find this offensive or degrading or a personal attack, IMO, this is something you have to deal with yourself.
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Last edited by dc_dux; 03-04-2008 at 05:45 AM.. Reason: added link to "Bradley effect"
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