Tilted Forum Project Discussion Community - View Single Post - A Question for Conservatives: For whom should I vote in the upcoming Texas primary?

rlbond86 · 02-20-2008, 08:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tully Mars

Latest polls I've seen show McCain V. Clinton or McCain V. Obama in a statistical ties:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...inton-224.html

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...obama-225.html

Both show the Dem with a slight lead but within the margin of error, statistical tie.

Anyone thinking the Dems are going to walk away with this election is in all likely hood kidding themselves.

From the article (I've pasted only the spreads):

RCP Average Obama +4.1
Reuters/Zogby Obama +7.0
USA Today/Gallup Obama +4.0
AP-Ipsos Obama +6.0
Time Obama +7.0
CNN Obama +8.0
Cook/RT Strategies Obama +2.0
ABC/Wash Post Obama +3.0
FOX News Obama +1.0
NPR McCain +1.0
Rasmussen Obama +4.0

Many of those are not statistical ties.

The Clinton ones are more balanced, but my point still stands. The choice is between two candidates who have a very legitimate chance of becoming President. In anyone's situation, I would vote for the one who I'm less afraid of becoming President.

I follow my own advice, too. I have been rooting for McCain because I would have been scared shitless if Huckabee or Romney won. I know McCain has the best shot of the three (a moot point, now), but I'd rather support a (relatively) sane opponent with a decent shot than an insane one, because what would happen if the true lunatic actually won?