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I'm "into this sort of thing" and can only rely on the economic experts to inform me. The current head of the Federal Reserve has come into line with those economists that have weighed the various factors that effect our economy and he has predicted a continued downturn.
Bush's "stimulus" package simply pumps more cash via debt into the economy with the cynical hope that the full crash is forestalled until 2009. Those damned "tax and spend" Democrats will get the blame among the population that have a five minute attention span.
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"You can't ignore politics, no matter how much you'd like to." Molly Ivins - 1944-2007
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