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Old 02-06-2008, 11:39 AM   #20 (permalink)
loquitur
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flstf, I think that's a bit simplistic. I do agree that Obama is more likely to beat McCain than Hillary is. But don't underestimate McCain's ability to mend fences in his party. Also, there was some talk that Hispanics don't care for Obama, and that because McCain is not anti-immigrant he has the best chance of any Republican to peel Hispanics away from the Democrats.

There are way too many moving pieces here to come to any judgments or predictions right now, except that McCain is likely to be the Rep nominee. Remember - at this time six months ago it looked like we'd be definitely choosing between Hillary and Giuliani, and McCain was left for dead. Now Rudy is gone, McCain will be nominated, and the outcome of the Dem race is still anyone's guess, with half the states having already voted. So who knows what will happen?
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