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Originally Posted by pr0f3n
There have been 3 contests in small states, absolutely nothing's a lock yet. Clinton's been basically static in her superdelegate count since November and Obama's made slight gains.
Here's the current count.
The political reality is a freshman Senator has closed enormous deficits nationally against the most powerful and ruthless faction in the DNC lead by the most popular and famous Democrat alive, Bill Clinton.
He's done so without going negative, without responding in kind to distortions and smears, while inspiring a generation alienated by the partisan hackery the Clintons and the DLC employ and embody. This primary's got a long way to go, and Obama's got an uphill battle, but anyone who's thought differently was fooling themselves. It's far from done. |
Now don't get me wrong. Obama is one hell of a democrat, a politician, and a seemingly decent human being. He's done a great deal in this race and has thus far ran a commendable campaign. But let's also not get too glossy eyed. He has had his fair share of digs and is just as guilty of the sniping that led democratic leaders to call for a truce as Hillary was. I'm very excited about Obama's ability to galvanize democratic youth and get them involved in the process, but it also worries me that he is creating one hell of a lot ideologues that aren't really politically informed beyond a blind call for change. They see Obama through rose colored glasses and, to them, he can essentially do no wrong. Now granted, I'll take a politically active student in my party over not any day of the week, but I'm not going to get excited until they are as savvy/objective as they are active.
Now, you are 100% right that there is a lot of primary to go, but keep in mind the crucial importance of momentum, perception, and wins (pyrrhic or otherwise). The build up to Super Tuesday is extremely important in the process; it always has been and that's not changing at this point. Certainly Obama is not out of this race, but you have to admit he hasn't been able to monopolize off of his early win in Iowa like he was expected to. Hillary has been winning in races that were supposed to be much tighter (if not losses). If this doesn't mean something and have implications for the future of Obama's campaign you're going to have to tell me why, more than there simply being a lot of race left. I would contend he's doing something wrong and needs to change it fast. I don't think anyone seriously believes things can keep going as they are and have an Obama victory. What do you think he is going to need to do to turn things around? If you do think nothing, then why should the trend of events since Iowa be discounted as meaningless?