There have been 3 contests in small states, absolutely nothing's a lock yet. Clinton's been basically static in her superdelegate count since
November and Obama's made
slight gains.
Here's the current count.
The political reality is a freshman Senator has closed enormous deficits nationally against the most powerful and ruthless faction in the DNC lead by the most popular and famous Democrat alive, Bill Clinton.
Poll numbers over time in Nevada:
http://img211.imageshack.us/my.php?image=image2mb0.png
He's done so without going negative, without responding in kind to distortions and smears, while inspiring a generation alienated by the partisan hackery the Clintons and the DLC employ and embody. This primary's got a long way to go, and Obama's got an uphill battle, but anyone who's thought differently was fooling themselves. It's far from done.