Total number of cases doesn't really tell you much in regard to who is more likely to contract AIDS today. What you need are the percentages of infected people in the respective populations... if we're talking about a heterosexual male vs. homosexual male, those populations would be homosexual males and heterosexual females.
I don't have those numbers, but like Ustwo, I would feel far safer playing around in the hetero-female camp than the homo-male camp.
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