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dc_dux · 10-22-2007, 07:27 PM

Text polls are as worthless as online polls.

In order for a poll to have any scientific validity, the sample (those who respond) must represent, as closely as possible, the larger population (all likely Republican primary voters).

These text polls and online polls are simply popularity contests of those small number of Repub voters currently tuned in or turned on in a manner that in no way represents all likely Repub voters. Yes, Ron Paul supporters are more engaged and voluntarily submit (not by random sample of the total universe) text and online polls...thats all these polls indicate.

In terms of more statistically valid polls (even with the shortcoming re: RP supporters with no landline phones -- which at best means a potential 2-3% swing, according to polling experts), he is included in the CNN, USA Today/Gallup, Reuters/Zogby, American Research Group, Fox News, NBC/Wall Street Journal, ABC/Washington Post polls....so for him to say he is not included by name in many national polls is not being honest with his supporters.

I guess you dont want to discuss Ron Paul's interview on his environmental policy (we dont need the EPA) that I posted...or have any further discussion on the general welfare clause that RP apparently also misrepresents to his supporters.

But keep hope alive! Ron Paul may even do reasonable well in the first real test in the NH primary (the "live free or die" state)...but then again, in 1996, another Republican extremist, Pat Buchanan, beat the eventual nominee, Bob Dole in NH.

10-22-2007, 07:27 PM	#215 (permalink)
dc_dux Location: Washington DC	Text polls are as worthless as online polls. In order for a poll to have any scientific validity, the sample (those who respond) must represent, as closely as possible, the larger population (all likely Republican primary voters). These text polls and online polls are simply popularity contests of those small number of Repub voters currently tuned in or turned on in a manner that in no way represents all likely Repub voters. Yes, Ron Paul supporters are more engaged and voluntarily submit (not by random sample of the total universe) text and online polls...thats all these polls indicate. In terms of more statistically valid polls (even with the shortcoming re: RP supporters with no landline phones -- which at best means a potential 2-3% swing, according to polling experts), he is included in the CNN, USA Today/Gallup, Reuters/Zogby, American Research Group, Fox News, NBC/Wall Street Journal, ABC/Washington Post polls....so for him to say he is not included by name in many national polls is not being honest with his supporters. I guess you dont want to discuss Ron Paul's interview on his environmental policy (we dont need the EPA) that I posted...or have any further discussion on the general welfare clause that RP apparently also misrepresents to his supporters. But keep hope alive! Ron Paul may even do reasonable well in the first real test in the NH primary (the "live free or die" state)...but then again, in 1996, another Republican extremist, Pat Buchanan, beat the eventual nominee, Bob Dole in NH. __________________ "The perfect is the enemy of the good." ~ Voltaire Last edited by dc_dux; 10-22-2007 at 07:54 PM..