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Originally Posted by willravel
I appreciate what you wrote in the first sentence, but I wonder, would you care to postulate?
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No.
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I think the question is to the initial invasion and the results of that. Had we not invaded, there's no reason to believe that the Hussein regime would have shifted their tactics. So, assuming that the tactics stayed the same, we may very well have seen a few hundred to at most a few thousand deaths in the last 4-5 years. Compare that to even the most conservative current estimates, maybe around 100,000. I'd say that's rather one sided. As has been said, anyone could have seen that we wouldn't be welcomed with open arms, and we would not have been able to replace the republican guard's ability to keep the peace. So it stands to reason that sectarian violence would break out.
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If Saddam had no intent to develop WMD why was he being so defiant relative to inspections? What were his plans for the oil for food money he was diverting? Would he have continued his practice of paying families of suicide bombers, if so why? Do you think he still had interest in Kuwait? Had he and Iran settled their differences? Would he have attacked Israel? What would have been the world response to an attack of Kuwait, Israel or Iran? These questions are just a few of the many possibilities.