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Sorry for my lack of participation in the thread. I had a few finals to take, but they're done now.
That being said, i don't think that a probabilistic model of reality necessarily suggests any sort of free will, since it doesn't imply the making of any sort of decision - flipping a coin isn't an active form of decision making in the same way that asking a random passerby what to do isn't an active form of decision making.
roach, i have a book called "Consciousness" by susan blackmore. It's meant to be a textbook for a college class on consciousness. Granted, i haven't gotten all of the way through it, but a recurring theme seems to be that there aren't really any reasonable assumptions that can be made about the nature of consciousness - all assumptions are problematic because the definition of consciousness isn't really that tangible beyond "it's, you know, that stuff that happens in our minds".
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