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Originally Posted by smooth
My guestimate is that you wouldn't get more than a 1% desire to carry on campuses, which nearly triples your 180 student estimate (1% of students alone is 420). And then wonder whether 1% of the population carrying would make a difference in any way shape or form.
there are probably a lot of design flaws in the study I just threw together, but it's just typed up real quick with not much contemplation. you could refine it or just think about it. but assuming in the best case scenario, having 1% of the population evently distributed around campus standing overwatch in case something like this happened. and you can see that given the students who were threatened and harmed by the shooting we're discussing, only 0-1 person would have been armed and present in the best case scenario.
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Oh, I know there won't be 3.6% of the university's population carrying guns. Like I said, it's very unlikely. But is the same state ratio carried into the university, then that's the maximum of students who would carry. Most college students around me are too busy working/studying/partying to take the time and energy and money to go through the steps to acquire a gun and register a CCW, much less practice at a range.
If as few as 1% of the population at the university carried firearms, that's maybe 50 students/faculty with guns at any given moment. I'm still comfortable with that number, considering that it's mostly composed of upperclassmen and faculty (people with the time and money and discipline to become responsible), which I would trust more than the average freshman.