View Single Post
Old 12-22-2006, 02:31 PM   #19 (permalink)
AVoiceOfReason
Psycho
 
Location: Greenwood, Arkansas
Some random thoughts on third parties:

1. When I was in law school in 1980, some guy was wearing an Anderson button. I overheard someone remark to him that "why are you voting for him, he can't win?" to which he replied "I didn't know I was supposed to vote for who I thought had a chance to win--I thought I was supposed to vote for the candidate that best represented what I supported." That has stuck with me for all this time. An election isn't like a horse race, where you study the racing forms and odds and put your money down accordingly.

2. I have voted for a third party candidate for president twice: Perot in 1992 and Michael Peroutka (Constitution Party) in 2004. I did so knowing neither would win, but I couldn't support either Bush or Clinton in 1992, nor Bush or Kerry in 2004. I didn't consider either a wasted vote, since the electoral votes of my state was going to go to Clinton in 1992 and Bush in 2004 regardless--voting against either of those candidates was going to be whistling in the wind in Arkansas those years, and I thought I might as well whistle a different tune.

3. Perot was in a unique situation--a recession, an unpopular sitting president, an untrustworthy Democrat, and a country that had just witnessed the House bank scandal. I have to wonder what would have happened if Perot hadn't wigged out in the late summer about operatives that were going to interrupt his daughter's wedding, and saying that he thought the two major parties had righted themselves. In short, I wonder what could have happened if someone not a few bricks short of a load and with the same money behind him could have done.

4. The 19% Perot pulled did get the attention of both parties, but moreso the Republicans. The Contract For America in 1994 was intended, at least in part, to appeal to those voters that the Republicans felt "got away" in 1992 (actually, I saw a study a few years ago that indicated that Perot got about half his votes from folks that were going to vote against Bush regardless, and half from those that would have chosen Bush over Clinton). In that sense, a vote for Perot in 1992 was the loudest message sent to Washington.

5. While I'm quite aware that third parties are usually tilting at windmills, there is always the Jesse Ventura example in Minnesota of a third party candidate winning.

6. In this discussion, there has been references to the chaos that multiple parties in a legislature (Israel and Italy for two) can cause, and I can see the mischief that can be caused if there was not a majority party. We have plenty of examples of mischief WITH a party in firm control--congressmen demanding a project for their district or a seat on a committee in return for their support of a particular bill or issue. Imagine what would have to be promised to get several factions to unite on a bill. Me, I'd like to think that we'd have more gridlock and less legislation, but I fear the result would be even more backroom deals, not fewer.

7. Historically in the US, the third party with the most support supplants the weaker of the main two. Federalists and Democratic-Republican and Whigs all gave way to something else (I don't have time to look up just what as I sit here); it may say something about US post-Civil War politics that since 1864, it's been primarily a two party system.

OK, this went on longer than I intended, so I'll stop here.
__________________
AVOR

A Voice Of Reason, not necessarily the ONLY one.
AVoiceOfReason is offline  
 

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 189 190 191 192 193 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207 208 209 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223 224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 234 235 236 237 238 239 240 241 242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249 250 251 252 253 254 255 256 257 258 259 260 261 262 263 264 265 266 267 268 269 270 271 272 273 274 275 276 277 278 279 280 281 282 283 284 285 286 287 288 289 290 291 292 293 294 295 296 297 298 299 300 301 302 303 304 305 306 307 308 309 310 311 312 313 314 315 316 317 318 319 320 321 322 323 324 325 326 327 328 329 330 331 332 333 334 335 336 337 338 339 340 341 342 343 344 345 346 347 348 349 350 351 352 353 354 355 356 357 358 359 360