Tilted Forum Project Discussion Community - View Single Post - prognostications based on election results?

host · 11-08-2006, 09:00 AM

roachboy....I don't want to brag....but on the fly last night, only with the resources of quick lookups of county demographics posted on wiki, I was able to make projections in VA, TENN, MO, and MT senate races that were all ahead of the network's reporting...and so far....that have all turned out to be the actual outcomes. Once a small sampling of results comes in, the balanced and unbalanced results in a given county seem to offer a highly reliable, predictive direction of the final, whole result. The fact that urban areas in almost all states, lean democrat, and rural areas, republican, IMO, make the task even easier, and more reliable, with even small initial "samples".

I am pessimistic about what will happen in the next two years. Democrats are hobbled by the mess that they've inherited....I've detailed that here:
http://www.tfproject.org/tfp/showthr...15#post2150715

...and for two other reasons:
the Bush admin. ignored congress when it's own party controlled it, and ignored many of the laws that it passed....I expect they will try to continue to do this....forcing impeachment and dem attempts for conviction in the senate....at least force the hand of the dems....and the country...through that process........in an intentional political strategy of polarization...don't forget....they have been described, for good reason, as the most partisan administration.....ever.

Rove will work tirelessly to contest every close election, especially in VA and in MT senate races. He will tirelessly discredit the integrity of the vote results of the opposition, in every close contest....see the report I posted about his efforts in Alabama to reverse election results in Alabama in 1994.

I predict that there will be no peace....no spirit of bi-partisanship, and a Rovian strategy to force dems from their current gameplan....best behavior, middle of the road, congressional leadership-in aniticipation-of-2008-presidential-ambitions.....into a warring counter-party to aggressive Bush admin. "business as usual" political and governance strategy. I see a strong possibility that the white house will act in an increasingly outrageous manner that will intentionally play to their ultra-conservative base, demonize the dems, and preserve as much of the "war time" unitarian executive centerpiece strategy, that we've all enjoyed observing....so far.

Count on it....what do you think that they see, that they have to lose....by acting this way? If you can put yourself in their place....the answer is....NOTHING!

11-08-2006, 09:00 AM	#6 (permalink)
host Banned	roachboy....I don't want to brag....but on the fly last night, only with the resources of quick lookups of county demographics posted on wiki, I was able to make projections in VA, TENN, MO, and MT senate races that were all ahead of the network's reporting...and so far....that have all turned out to be the actual outcomes. Once a small sampling of results comes in, the balanced and unbalanced results in a given county seem to offer a highly reliable, predictive direction of the final, whole result. The fact that urban areas in almost all states, lean democrat, and rural areas, republican, IMO, make the task even easier, and more reliable, with even small initial "samples". I am pessimistic about what will happen in the next two years. Democrats are hobbled by the mess that they've inherited....I've detailed that here: http://www.tfproject.org/tfp/showthr...15#post2150715 ...and for two other reasons: the Bush admin. ignored congress when it's own party controlled it, and ignored many of the laws that it passed....I expect they will try to continue to do this....forcing impeachment and dem attempts for conviction in the senate....at least force the hand of the dems....and the country...through that process........in an intentional political strategy of polarization...don't forget....they have been described, for good reason, as the most partisan administration.....ever. Rove will work tirelessly to contest every close election, especially in VA and in MT senate races. He will tirelessly discredit the integrity of the vote results of the opposition, in every close contest....see the report I posted about his efforts in Alabama to reverse election results in Alabama in 1994. I predict that there will be no peace....no spirit of bi-partisanship, and a Rovian strategy to force dems from their current gameplan....best behavior, middle of the road, congressional leadership-in aniticipation-of-2008-presidential-ambitions.....into a warring counter-party to aggressive Bush admin. "business as usual" political and governance strategy. I see a strong possibility that the white house will act in an increasingly outrageous manner that will intentionally play to their ultra-conservative base, demonize the dems, and preserve as much of the "war time" unitarian executive centerpiece strategy, that we've all enjoyed observing....so far. Count on it....what do you think that they see, that they have to lose....by acting this way? If you can put yourself in their place....the answer is....NOTHING!