I think the Wii for a couple reasons...
#1: I'm a Nintendo Fanboy heh.
#2 (real reason): I look at what the DS has done and how it has come into it's own. It started sort of slow and has built up a larger and larger momentum as more and more people (non-gamers) pick it up and start using it. I mean.. I watched my dad get one last month, and he hasn't bought/played a game console since the NES for us kids.
I think the Wii will go down a similar route... it will have the initial rush of gamers that makes it win in the short term, but then it's price will fall and it will look more attractive to non gamers (both via price and via word of mouth). It isn't hard to see what these new controllers can do (there are about 8 million youtube vids out there hehe), and I think some of the "non-game" things you can make with it (exercise "game", brainage-type game, etc) will make it more attractive to non-gamers.
I think trying to get non-gamers will be a good thing for Nintendo, like it was for the DS.
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