Quote:
Originally Posted by KnifeMissile
I'm not sure I understand your point. What, exactly, are you suggesting?
Taking everything that you've said for granted, exactly what terms are you suggesting the US give China and Russia to capitulate?
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The "terms" would be acceptance, on short notice, of a demand by the U.S. that all long range missles and other long range offensive nuclear weapons delivery systems, under the contol of any country designated by the U.S., be deactivated, and then, under U.S. supervision, dismantled, along with existing facilities capable of maintaining or manufacturing such systems, as well as all design and R&D facilities.
Acceptance of and cooperation with a permanent presence of U.S. weapons inspectors would also be required.
Any country that refuses to accept and comply with these terms must be convinced by the U.S. that the consequence of delaying acceptance or outright resistance, would be the risk of an imminent, massive nuclear strike on military targets and on industrial infrastructure.
The best time to display a resolve and firmness that is not diluted by signs of desperation....a resolve that compliments the description of U.S. nuclear first strike capablities, that I previously posted, to project the most intimidating, and thus, persuasive impression on China, and more importantly, on Russia,
is now.
The key to avoiding massive loss of life and devastation, i.e., an "all out" nuclear war, is to convince Russia that the inevitable result of resisting the U.S. ultimatum by launching a pre-emptive nuclear strike on the U.S. as a response to the U.S. ultimatum, would be the near certainty that the U.S. would only be partially destroyed, while U.S. retaliatory strikes would result in Russia ceasing to exist.
I accept that the U.S. government will come to a decision very similar to what I've described, but that it will not come until the odds of avoiding a nuclear exchange with Russia are much higher than they would be....say....if the ultimatum was delivered tomorrow.
Current U.S. foreign, military, and economic growth, consumption, and federal reserve policy is unsustainable, insofar as it's effect on U.S. dollar purchasing power. The dollar buys just 40 percent of the petroleum, gold, and a number of other raw materials that it could be exchanged for, just 65 months ago.
In the next 60 months, given present budget and trade deficit trends, aggravated by rising worldwide interest rates and commodity prices, there is no reason that the dollar purchasing power could not decline by 75 percent or more....even in regard to our ability to purchase consumer staples, vs. current pricing, in stores like....Wal-Mart.
There is talk by leaders in Russia, China, Venezuela, and Iran, of plans to move away from the U.S. dollar as the world reserve currency. This status is the only thing that creates enough foreign demand for dollars...mainly to purchase rapidly rising petroleum....mostly in dollars, by prior agreement, to keep the exchange rate of the dollar from falling off a cliff.
Acceptance of U.S. "terms", by China and Russia, North Korea....etc...would result in the U.S. being the only nuclear military power, almost guaranteeing a longer period of support for the dollar as the reserve currency, and hence, support for it's purchasing power, closer to current levels. It will be easier to attract foreign investment to the U.S., than if it is a bankrupt country with a crippled currency, perceived to be trending into an inevitable period of Chinese hegemony.
I see no other proposal that addresses the coming risks to the dollar, or to competition for diminishing natural resources and trends toward richer and more powerful China and Russia, and an inability to fund and maintain the U.S. military at current levels. What to do to save the dollar is truly our national security priority....there are three choices....ignore the crisis, as we seem to be doing now....launch an aggressive program to cut imports, at least in half, by 2010, and to balance the federal budget by 2010, via tax increases and cuts in military and intelligence agency spending.....or force worldwide nuclear and bomber/missle disarmament via issuance of an immediate and steadfast U.S. ultimatum.
I predict that we will not be led to do any of these things...except the last one....late enough in our decline that, tragically, probably Russia will refuse to blink, and many millions will die before the U.S. emerges in a shattered but functioning form to endure the climate effects of nuclear winter.