wake on lan is another possibility, but you need another computer sending the magic packet to that’s system's MAC address, and that’s doubtful. And WOL is usually disabled by default in bios. The power switch on all new systems (ATX boards, not AT boards) takes just a quick short to power it on, when I work on mother boards out of the case, I use a screwdriver to turn them on, all it takes is a quick cross of the 2 pins the power button connects to.
If you feel comfortable inside of the case, try disconnecting the power button from the case to the mother board, see if it still powers on randomly, I think the button on the case has an intermittent short.
As for a virus, if the system is shut off, a virus can’t do anything, unless it is rewriting parts of the bios ROM, possible but would have to be mother board specific.
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