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Originally Posted by politicophile
For all those who believe there is already a civil war occurring, I ask you: Who are the two (or more) factions fighting each other? All I see is a group of foreign Al-Qaeda fighters and former Ba'athists attacking Coalition troops and Iraqi Police. The momentum for the insurgency is coming from outside Iraq.
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There's plenty of precedent for one side of a civil war receiving support and materiel from foreign sources. This isn't evidence against claims that there's a civil war afoot or brewing.
For that matter, the Al-Qaeda group that is claiming responsibility for all insurgent activity is a Falludjia-based Iraqi cell. Al-Qaeda isn't a nation, it's a pan-national movement/organization. The Ba'ath party is Iraqi, though with admitted ties to Syria. I don't really see what makes you say "the momentum for the insurgency is comin from outside Iraq." That doesn't appear to be true at all.
There's very clearly a pro-US faction that's under assault from an anti-US faction. But that's an oversimplification too; our presence merely magnifies the divides already present in Iraqi society. In the last three years, we've shifted the balance of power there 180 degrees. You can't expect that not to have massive and long-lasting repercussions.