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I think if we were a 2 party system as with the US, the Liberals would win in a walk, based solely on the economic performance. But the socially left-centre vote is really split between the liberals, NDP, Bloc and even Green now, while the Conservatives have a lock on the 1/3 of the rest of the population.
It'll be a close one!
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Si vis pacem parabellum.
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