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Antikarma · 12-07-2005, 05:47 PM

I'm not in the contest, but thought you'd like today's results. Take it with a grain of sand, it changes daily, but here you go:

SES CPAC
06/12/2005
Liberal 40
CPC 28
NDP 17
Bloc 11
Green 4

democraticSPACE
ELECTION PREDICTION
Liberal 112
CPC 102
NDP 29
Bloc 65
Green 0

308 seats total,
156 seats required for majority (with speaker)

SES CPAC Poll report 12 pt advantage for Liberals
07/12/2005

Polling completed Tuesday December 6th indicates that the Liberals are now at 40% popular support followed by the Conservatives at 28%, the NDP at 17%, the BQ at 11% and the Green Party at 4%. Martin's Performance Index Score increased 10 points on the day of his National Daycare announcement.

The shift in focus from the Advertising Scandal to issues such as daycare and healthcare seems to be playing to the Liberals favour.

Polling completed Tuesday December 6th indicates that the Liberals are now at 40% popular support followed by the Conservatives at 28%, the NDP at 17%, the BQ at 11% and the Green Party at 4%. Martin's Performance Index Score increased 10 points on the day of his National Daycare announcement.

Polling December 4 to December 6, 2005 (Random Telephone Survey of 1,200 Canadians, MoE ±2.9%, 19 times out of 20). Percentages may not add up to 100 due to rounding. Our tracking polls allow for a daily barometer on the activities of the respective campaigns. Longitudinal tracking charts on all measures can be found at the SES website at www.sesresearch.com.

All values in parenthesis are changes from our November 13th national survey.

Canada Decided Voters
LIB - 40% (+6)
CP - 28% (NC)
NDP - 17% (-3)
BQ - 11% (-3)
GP - 4% (NC)
*18% of Canadians were undecided (+4)

In Quebec
BQ - 46% (-8)
LIB - 32% (+8)
CP - 10% (+1)
NDP - 8% (NC)
GP - 4% (NC)

Outside Quebec
LIB - 43% (+6)
CP - 33% (-2)
NDP - 20% (-5)
GP - 4% (NC)

Best PM
Martin - 29% (NC)
Unsure - 21% (+8)
Harper - 21% (-1)
None - 10% (-1)
Layton - 10% (-6)
Duceppe - 6% (-1)
Harris - 2% (-2)

Leadership Index (Daily composite of the Leaders' Trust, Competence
and Vision)*
Martin - 86 (+10)
Harper - 47 (-10)
Layton - 37 (+2)
Duceppe - 24 (NC)
Harris - 12 (+1)
* Change for this measure is from yesterday's composite score.

12-07-2005, 05:47 PM	#21 (permalink)
Antikarma Psycho Location: Yellowknife, NWT	I'm not in the contest, but thought you'd like today's results. Take it with a grain of sand, it changes daily, but here you go: SES CPAC 06/12/2005 Liberal 40 CPC 28 NDP 17 Bloc 11 Green 4 democraticSPACE ELECTION PREDICTION Liberal 112 CPC 102 NDP 29 Bloc 65 Green 0 308 seats total, 156 seats required for majority (with speaker) SES CPAC Poll report 12 pt advantage for Liberals 07/12/2005 Polling completed Tuesday December 6th indicates that the Liberals are now at 40% popular support followed by the Conservatives at 28%, the NDP at 17%, the BQ at 11% and the Green Party at 4%. Martin's Performance Index Score increased 10 points on the day of his National Daycare announcement. The shift in focus from the Advertising Scandal to issues such as daycare and healthcare seems to be playing to the Liberals favour. Polling completed Tuesday December 6th indicates that the Liberals are now at 40% popular support followed by the Conservatives at 28%, the NDP at 17%, the BQ at 11% and the Green Party at 4%. Martin's Performance Index Score increased 10 points on the day of his National Daycare announcement. Polling December 4 to December 6, 2005 (Random Telephone Survey of 1,200 Canadians, MoE ±2.9%, 19 times out of 20). Percentages may not add up to 100 due to rounding. Our tracking polls allow for a daily barometer on the activities of the respective campaigns. Longitudinal tracking charts on all measures can be found at the SES website at www.sesresearch.com. All values in parenthesis are changes from our November 13th national survey. Canada Decided Voters LIB - 40% (+6) CP - 28% (NC) NDP - 17% (-3) BQ - 11% (-3) GP - 4% (NC) 18% of Canadians were undecided (+4) In Quebec BQ - 46% (-8) LIB - 32% (+8) CP - 10% (+1) NDP - 8% (NC) GP - 4% (NC) Outside Quebec LIB - 43% (+6) CP - 33% (-2) NDP - 20% (-5) GP - 4% (NC) Best PM Martin - 29% (NC) Unsure - 21% (+8) Harper - 21% (-1) None - 10% (-1) Layton - 10% (-6) Duceppe - 6% (-1) Harris - 2% (-2) Leadership Index (Daily composite of the Leaders' Trust, Competence and Vision) Martin - 86 (+10) Harper - 47 (-10) Layton - 37 (+2) Duceppe - 24 (NC) Harris - 12 (+1) * Change for this measure is from yesterday's composite score. __________________ "Whoever you are, go out into the evening, leaving your room, of which you know each bit; your house is the last before the infinite, whoever you are."