Tilted Forum Project Discussion Community - View Single Post - Canada: Canadian Elelction

highthief · 11-29-2005, 04:02 PM

Current distribution is as follows :

Liberals - 133 seats
Tories - 98 seats
Bloc - 53 seats
NDP - 18 seats
Indie - 4 seats

With two vacant. My predictions would go somewhere to the following :

Liberals - 137 seats
Tories - 100 seats
Bloc - 55 seats
NDP - 15 seats
Independant - 1 seat

Not that much change, as you can see. I think you are the victim of overly wishful thinking to imagine the NDP has a snowbal's chance of getting a sniff of 47 seats. They simply won't take any away from the Liberals. The only ones who can take any # of SUBSTANTIAL seats away from the Liberals are the Conservatives, in virtually any scenario you can imagine.

The Liberals are what the country actually wants - fiscally intelligent managers with liberal social policies with an excellent track record of managing the economy. Some voters are tired of the same party just on principle, and that is the Liberal's main weakness outside of Quebec.

11-29-2005, 04:02 PM	#19 (permalink)
highthief Junkie Location: Ontario, Canada	Current distribution is as follows : Liberals - 133 seats Tories - 98 seats Bloc - 53 seats NDP - 18 seats Indie - 4 seats With two vacant. My predictions would go somewhere to the following : Liberals - 137 seats Tories - 100 seats Bloc - 55 seats NDP - 15 seats Independant - 1 seat Not that much change, as you can see. I think you are the victim of overly wishful thinking to imagine the NDP has a snowbal's chance of getting a sniff of 47 seats. They simply won't take any away from the Liberals. The only ones who can take any # of SUBSTANTIAL seats away from the Liberals are the Conservatives, in virtually any scenario you can imagine. The Liberals are what the country actually wants - fiscally intelligent managers with liberal social policies with an excellent track record of managing the economy. Some voters are tired of the same party just on principle, and that is the Liberal's main weakness outside of Quebec. __________________ Si vis pacem parabellum.