Well since you've done reinstalls, I guess that's right. Not an infection.
Damm hard to see what else disables windows update - but since it's MS, maybe it's simply flaky. Or else it was blocked by a firewall. Dunno.
Look I'm really a software/server/DB guy - so have little more ideas.
One thing though... have you checked your RAM timings in the BIOS setup? I've seen some bad behaviour when RAM timings were wrong.
Other than that... for hardware problems - try running a burn-in style product. I'm not sure what's out there these days. There used to be something called CheckIt.. and I've hear SiSandra or similar mentioned in the mags. Basically - these programs test your hardware for you.
Burn-in programs should hammer your hardware for a few hours. If hardware gets through that, it should be ok.
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