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Originally Posted by willravel
That's a great story, but let me thhrow some statistics at you. There are a little over 50,000 members currently signed up with TFP. TFP is about 50,000 out of about 6,450,628,805 people on the planet about 900,000,000 internet users. Now, to be generous, let's say there were 900 direct eye whitnesses not just on 395, but anywhere to see the Pentagon tragety. I think most people can see where I'm going with this. Do you know what the odds are that one of our nice TFPers was present at the Pentagon crash? I'll give you a hint. It's over 1/1,000,000,000. It's more likely that you are fibbing to try and support something you believe in than someone who was actually there. I'm sorry to be so blunt.
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Will, your "stats" are incredibly misleading. I don't know if joecool is telling the truth or not, but let's try not to call the kettle black when it comes to using false or misleading information to support a point.
I almost went down this road when you accused me of lying (or perhaps it was only strongly suggested, to be fair), and decided it wasn't worth it.
Maybe later tonight when I have the time I will go through and explain. Suffice to say that when you are looking at far too large a range of people, and discounting several factors that call your analysis into question.
You aren't a statistician (and neither am I), so you need to be careful when using "stats". Of course, you aren't an architect, engineer, accident investigator, photoanalyst or any of the other specialties you so gleefully opine on, either, so why should statistics get in your way?
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Originally Posted by willravel
If you could perhaps be more specific about what you saw, I could determine from the photo evidence available how likely it is that you were there.
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SNARF!
Ok, CSI, what exactly do you have in mind? Detecting the skid marks from his car in the satellite photos, or checking hist story against your preconceived ideas about what happened.
I can see it now: he says a plane hit the pentagon. It is clear from the photos that a plane did not hit the pentagon. Therefore, he is lying.
Do you see the flaw?