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The notion of the "non-coming oil shortage" has been around for decades.
We can each cite study after study demonstrating one side or the other - but the inarguable facts remain:
- oil is finite
- as long as the methods for processing continue to lag behind the methods of extraction, oil will run out
- it is not the end of access to oil that is the problem - it is the end of cost-effective access to oil that is the problem
This all leads to one conclusion: the assumption that oil prices (both the price of the gallon as affected by the cost of extraction and affected by the price of militarily securing access and the price of militarily securing access) will remain low is a short-term concept.
Add in the human lives factor of the military aspect, the progressive negative impact on environment (which also goes to the human lives factor), and there is compelling reason to begin ardently working towards a non-oil based energy economy.
There is no question that it is a long-term goal. But it will remain a never-term goal until there is a plan and leadership to actively make it happen.
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