As a neo-con I believe the motivating factor for war was oil, just viewed in the proper context.
That having been said, I don't think you can de-link oil, it's the life blood of every major country and especially it's military, namely western Europe and China/Russia/Japan. America never got it's oil from the Middle East (only 20% +/-). China is projected to account for 70% of the new demand for oil in the next 10-20 odd years, as we all know America is trying to counter the maturation of China into a super power. At the same time Western European countries and Russia all got their oil from Iraq, I think the idea held by Rummy and Wolfowitz was if we have a presence in Iraq (and the larger Mideast region), if we can stabilize it, they won't have to. In a sense they are right on the money because current trends and Europe seem to show a decrease in the countries respective militaries. If we are protecting their interests they won't have to, and they will be less of a challenge to our imperial might.
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To win a war you must serve no master but your ambition.
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