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Saddam feared a Shiite revolt like what had just happened in Iran. He took the head Shiite cleric of Iraq prisoner, tortured him by setting his beard on fire, pounding nails into his head, and then executing him. He then invaded, it wasn't an ethnic conflict in any major sense, Saddam has always been a paranoid nut job, this is a prime example.
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To win a war you must serve no master but your ambition.
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